Bucknell
Patriot · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#98
−6.9 pts · likely #77–109
Strength of schedule
23.5
#98 of 129
Strength of victory
12.1
#82
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 41.4% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
32.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Marist | W 34-23 | −10.2 | +1.9 | 0.121 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 3 | vs VMI | W 35-28 | −17.9 | −1.9 | 0.025 | 4 | −11.9 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | L 24-41 | +17.8 | −1.9 | 0.680 | 1 | −1.5 |
| 5 | vs Saint Francis | W 30-23 | −16.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.327
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49