Alabama State
SWAC · 7-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#28
+8.8 pts · likely #14–49
Strength of schedule
16.7
#122 of 129
Strength of victory
11.5
#85
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
2.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −19.2 | +1.9 | 0.037 | 4 | +6.5 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −10.8 | +1.9 | 0.113 | 3 | +19.2 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −6.3 | −1.9 | 0.122 | 3 | +8.8 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +8.1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.024
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9