North Carolina Central
MEAC · 6-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#42
+4.8 pts · likely #24–65
Strength of schedule
15.3
#124 of 129
Strength of victory
11.9
#81
Record SOS
0.407
Opp. 36.0% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
27.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | L 10-27 | +6.1 | −2.0 | 0.371 | 2 | −10.3 |
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 31-14 | −20.1 | 0.0 | 0.024 | 4 | −2.0 |
| 4 | at North Carolina A&T | W 62-20 | −10.1 | +2.0 | 0.123 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | W 50-42 | −3.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.347
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.203
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Old DominionFBS · L 6-54
- Wk 3: vs Fayetteville StateDII · W 49-19