New Haven
NEC · 2-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−12.9 pts · likely #97–122
Strength of schedule
21.7
#104 of 129
Strength of victory
15.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.410
Opp. 36.2% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Marist | L 14-31 | −13.3 | +2.0 | 0.084 | 4 | −28.0 |
| 2 | at Mercyhurst | L 14-48 | −7.1 | +2.0 | 0.170 | 3 | −38.3 |
| 3 | at UAlbany | W 24-17 | −10.3 | +2.0 | 0.120 | 3 | −2.1 |
| 5 | at Duquesne | L 18-44 | +4.4 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Saginaw Valley StateDII · W 35-28
- Wk 6: vs PaceDII · W 28-14
- Wk 7: vs Western Connecticut StateDIII · W 69-0