Morgan State
MEAC · 0-5 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#125
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#90
−5.3 pts · likely #64–108
Strength of schedule
24.9
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 52.1% · Opp. opp. 39.7%
Remaining SOS
22.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Towson | L 22-27 | +2.6 | −2.0 | 0.285 | 2 | −4.3 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | L 24-27 | −6.2 | +2.0 | 0.185 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 9 | at Howard | L 27-33 OT | −10.4 | +2.0 | 0.118 | 3 | −11.4 |
| 10 | at South Carolina State | L 30-36 | +6.1 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Norfolk State · p 0.103
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.336
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 21-38
- Wk 3: at ToledoFBS · L 0-60
- Wk 4: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 27-0
- Wk 5: vs (N) Miles CollegeDII · W 24-17
- Wk 7: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-6