Mercer
Southern · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#13
+13.9 pts · likely #6–28
Strength of schedule
26.6
#85 of 129
Strength of victory
28.1
#28
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 45.9% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
37.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −4.2 | −2.0 | 0.152 | 3 | −9.9 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +3.0 | −2.0 | 0.295 | 2 | +3.4 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −0.5 | +2.0 | 0.305 | 2 | +33.8 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +6.3 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.259
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.489