Gardner-Webb
OVC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#51
+3.2 pts · likely #31–74
Strength of schedule
32.5
#56 of 129
Strength of victory
27.2
#30
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 58.7% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
10.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Carolina | W 52-45 | +7.6 | +2.0 | 0.517 | 1 | +16.2 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 23-13 | −2.7 | −2.0 | 0.176 | 3 | +5.0 |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | W 30-27 | −3.9 | −2.0 | 0.155 | 3 | −1.8 |
| 7 | at Eastern Illinois | W 21-10 | −4.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Tennessee State · p 0.116
- Wk 13: vs Western Illinois · p 0.102
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 12-59
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 35-52