Bucknell
Patriot · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#92
−5.8 pts · likely #71–107
Strength of schedule
23.1
#99 of 129
Strength of victory
12.0
#79
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
26.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Marist | W 34-23 | −11.3 | +2.0 | 0.107 | 3 | +0.0 |
| 3 | vs VMI | W 35-28 | −18.2 | −2.0 | 0.024 | 4 | −12.2 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | L 24-41 | +17.0 | −2.0 | 0.658 | 1 | −2.2 |
| 5 | vs Saint Francis | W 30-23 | −17.2 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Holy Cross · p 0.197
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.336
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49