Brown
Ivy · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#70
−1.1 pts · likely #48–92
Strength of schedule
38.0
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
31.1
#17
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 59.0% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
30.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Georgetown | W 46-0 | −3.3 | −2.0 | 0.166 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 5 | at Harvard | L 7-41 | +18.3 | +2.0 | 0.779 | 1 | −13.0 |
| 6 | vs (N) Rhode Island | W 28-21 | +13.4 | 0.0 | 0.618 | 1 | +18.7 |
| 7 | at Bryant | W 29-19 | −8.4 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Columbia · p 0.188
- Wk 13: vs Dartmouth · p 0.412