Alabama State
SWAC · 6-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 62% of the time
Power
#28
+7.8 pts · likely #16–55
Strength of schedule
18.4
#115 of 129
Strength of victory
12.3
#76
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 55.9% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
3.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern | W 30-7 | −19.5 | +2.0 | 0.036 | 4 | +5.9 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | W 42-14 | −10.9 | +2.0 | 0.112 | 3 | +18.8 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 52-35 | −6.2 | −2.0 | 0.122 | 3 | +8.7 |
| 7 | at Jackson State | L 34-38 | +8.7 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.032
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.030
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 42-52
- Wk 3: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 37-9