Western Illinois
OVC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#100
−8.0 pts · likely #77–115
Strength of schedule
27.7
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
6.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.449
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
28.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −24.7 | −2.1 | 0.008 | 4 | −6.1 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +0.3 | +2.1 | 0.328 | 2 | −17.2 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −6.2 | −2.1 | 0.120 | 3 | −15.3 |
| 6 | at Tennessee Tech | L 20-66 | +14.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.205
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.228
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.415
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42