Tarleton State
UAC · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#3
+21.4 pts · likely #2–10
Strength of schedule
32.9
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
29.5
#21
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
45.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −6.1 | +2.1 | 0.190 | 3 | +30.5 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −19.9 | −2.1 | 0.018 | 4 | +14.2 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +2.3 | +2.1 | 0.377 | 2 | +37.5 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.152
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.422
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.712
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.516
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27