New Haven
NEC · 1-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−16.0 pts · likely #107–126
Strength of schedule
22.3
#104 of 129
Strength of victory
11.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.388
Opp. 33.9% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
19.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Marist | L 14-31 | −14.5 | +2.1 | 0.073 | 4 | −29.2 |
| 2 | at Mercyhurst | L 14-48 | −6.5 | +2.1 | 0.182 | 3 | −37.6 |
| 3 | at UAlbany | W 24-17 | −10.8 | +2.1 | 0.115 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 5 | at Duquesne | L 18-44 | +7.4 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Merrimack · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Saginaw Valley StateDII · W 35-28
- Wk 6: vs PaceDII · W 28-14
- Wk 7: vs Western Connecticut StateDIII · W 69-0