Bucknell
Patriot · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#104
−8.6 pts · likely #83–115
Strength of schedule
22.5
#101 of 129
Strength of victory
11.1
#81
Record SOS
0.465
Opp. 46.9% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
25.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Marist | W 34-23 | −12.3 | +2.1 | 0.096 | 4 | −1.2 |
| 3 | vs VMI | W 35-28 | −16.2 | −2.1 | 0.032 | 4 | −10.5 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | L 24-41 | +16.1 | −2.1 | 0.633 | 1 | −3.6 |
| 5 | vs Saint Francis | W 30-23 | −18.7 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Fordham · p 0.167
- Wk 12: vs Holy Cross · p 0.224
- Wk 13: at Colgate · p 0.374
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 13-49