Tarleton State
UAC · 1-0 vs FCS · 2-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#5
+18.0 pts · likely #2–33
Strength of schedule
35.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
35.9
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
40.0
12 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | +3.6 | +0.1 | 0.359 | 2 | +31.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.042
- Wk 3: at Central Arkansas · p 0.422
- Wk 4: vs Chattanooga · p 0.506
- Wk 6: vs Southern Utah · p 0.574
- Wk 7: at Utah Tech · p 0.231
- Wk 8: vs West Georgia · p 0.445
- Wk 9: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.449
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.473
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.321
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.349
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.487
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.500
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27