Nicholls State
Southland · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#32
+6.1 pts · likely #13–79
Strength of schedule
61.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
61.4
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
30.7
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +13.3 | −0.1 | 0.614 | 1 | +21.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: vs West Georgia · p 0.445
- Wk 5: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.449
- Wk 6: at Lamar · p 0.269
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.464
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.316
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.186
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.160
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.057
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.419
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38