Valparaiso
Pioneer · 2-7 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#122
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−18.4 pts · likely #117–126
Strength of schedule
16.9
#123 of 129
Strength of victory
3.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.436
Opp. 42.0% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 7-35 | +0.7 | +2.6 | 0.348 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 25-59 | +5.6 | +2.6 | 0.478 | 2 | −25.3 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | L 5-17 | −12.7 | +2.6 | 0.097 | 4 | −20.6 |
| 6 | vs Drake | L 3-27 | −2.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17
- Wk 4: vs RooseveltDII · W 31-23