Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 7-4 vs FCS · 8-5 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#25
+8.5 pts · likely #12–47
Strength of schedule
39.2
#31 of 129
Strength of victory
25.6
#46
Record SOS
0.467
Opp. 43.7% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −4.7 | +2.6 | 0.224 | 3 | +25.5 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.1 | +2.6 | 0.650 | 1 | −9.0 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +4.4 | −2.6 | 0.314 | 2 | +17.9 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +12.7 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22