Montana State
Big Sky · 14-1 vs FCS · 15-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it <0.1% of the time
Power
#3
+28.2 pts · likely #2–3
Strength of schedule
46.1
#16 of 129
Strength of victory
42.9
#3
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 56.0% · Opp. opp. 56.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
7-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (15)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −6.8 | +2.6 | 0.185 | 3 | +21.5 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | +0.7 | −2.6 | 0.232 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.3 | −2.6 | 0.061 | 4 | +22.6 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −1.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31