Illinois State
MVFC · 10-3 vs FCS · 10-4 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#18
+9.5 pts · likely #11–41
Strength of schedule
41.2
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
32.9
#17
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 49.5% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Alabama | W 24-17 | +2.5 | +2.6 | 0.394 | 2 | +11.4 |
| 3 | vs Western Illinois | W 51-34 | −5.9 | −2.6 | 0.118 | 3 | +7.4 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 31-7 | −6.5 | −2.6 | 0.110 | 3 | +14.6 |
| 5 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-42 | +28.1 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 0-40