Alabama State
SWAC · 5-5 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#66
−0.3 pts · likely #44–87
Strength of schedule
23.5
#101 of 129
Strength of victory
11.1
#95
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 49.6% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 24-31 | +9.2 | 0.0 | 0.506 | 1 | +2.2 |
| 3 | at Samford | L 7-12 | +3.0 | +2.6 | 0.409 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 26-21 | −10.7 | +2.6 | 0.122 | 3 | −0.9 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 13-28 | −1.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 24-3
- Wk 14: vs TuskegeeDII · W 34-6