Villanova
CAA · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#16
+10.6 pts · likely #8–44
Strength of schedule
34.0
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
34.4
#9
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 61.5%
Remaining SOS
43.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +7.9 | −2.1 | 0.415 | 2 | +12.5 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | −5.1 | +2.1 | 0.208 | 3 | +20.5 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +3.2 | −2.1 | 0.296 | 2 | +2.6 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-10 | −4.8 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.405
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.047
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.549
- Wk 13: vs Delaware · p 0.577
- Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.348
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.675
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38