Norfolk State
MEAC · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#102
−7.7 pts · likely #74–115
Strength of schedule
25.5
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
9.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 46.2% · Opp. opp. 44.0%
Remaining SOS
22.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Florida A&M | L 23-24 | +6.7 | 0.0 | 0.440 | 2 | +4.5 |
| 3 | vs Hampton | L 7-37 | +0.6 | −2.1 | 0.238 | 3 | −28.4 |
| 4 | at VMI | W 32-10 | −12.7 | +2.1 | 0.091 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 5 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 10-37 | +7.3 | 0.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Morgan State · p 0.282
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.026
- Wk 13: at South Carolina State · p 0.363
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at East CarolinaFBS · L 3-42
- Wk 2: vs Virginia StateDII · W 28-23