Gardner-Webb
OVC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#70
−1.1 pts · likely #46–97
Strength of schedule
31.2
#60 of 129
Strength of victory
15.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.4% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
15.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wofford | L 20-21 | −3.4 | −2.1 | 0.163 | 3 | −7.0 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 42-21 | −12.1 | +2.1 | 0.099 | 4 | +10.4 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 21-52 | −7.5 | −2.1 | 0.104 | 3 | −36.4 |
| 6 | at UT Martin | L 17-35 | +13.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.135
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.098
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.191
- Wk 13: at Western Illinois · p 0.174
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 6-13
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 26-27