Wagner
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#105
−8.6 pts · likely #77–117
Strength of schedule
17.1
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
8.3
#69
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 44.2% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
34.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | −4.3 | +1.8 | 0.217 | 3 | −34.3 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −13.6 | +1.8 | 0.079 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | L 14-21 | −1.6 | −1.8 | 0.200 | 3 | −10.6 |
| 6 | at Stonehill | W 28-7 | −15.0 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.337
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.573
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.137
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7
- Wk 5: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 10-41