Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#61
+0.0 pts · likely #38–93
Strength of schedule
23.4
#101 of 129
Strength of victory
14.7
#58
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 52.7% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
16.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bucknell | W 31-21 | −6.6 | +1.8 | 0.174 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 4 | vs Maine | L 15-26 | +3.1 | −1.8 | 0.301 | 2 | −7.9 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 14-16 | +8.1 | −1.8 | 0.430 | 2 | +3.3 |
| 7 | at Morgan State | W 32-24 | −3.3 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Colgate · p 0.172
- Wk 10: at Robert Morris · p 0.280
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.074
- Wk 13: at Fordham · p 0.147
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 2: at UConnFBS · L 17-63