Gardner-Webb
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#79
−3.0 pts · likely #51–105
Strength of schedule
23.8
#98 of 129
Strength of victory
13.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.415
Opp. 31.7% · Opp. opp. 61.2%
Remaining SOS
24.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wofford | L 20-21 | −2.3 | −1.8 | 0.187 | 3 | −5.6 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 42-21 | −14.4 | +1.8 | 0.071 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 21-52 | −8.0 | −1.8 | 0.101 | 3 | −36.0 |
| 6 | at UT Martin | L 17-35 | +12.2 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.617
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.119
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.124
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.195
- Wk 13: at Western Illinois · p 0.174
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 6-13
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 26-27