Brown
Ivy · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#68
−1.2 pts · likely #44–97
Strength of schedule
33.7
#44 of 129
Strength of victory
39.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.555
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
36.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Georgetown | W 26-14 | −1.6 | +1.8 | 0.274 | 2 | +10.9 |
| 5 | vs Harvard | W 31-28 | +11.4 | −1.8 | 0.519 | 1 | +10.9 |
| 6 | vs Bryant | L 35-42 | −8.4 | −1.8 | 0.097 | 4 | −14.2 |
| 7 | at Rhode Island | L 21-31 | +9.1 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Cornell · p 0.168
- Wk 10: vs Penn · p 0.333
- Wk 11: at Yale · p 0.412
- Wk 12: vs Columbia · p 0.385
- Wk 13: at Dartmouth · p 0.506