Villanova
CAA · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#9
+14.8 pts · likely #5–32
Strength of schedule
29.2
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
29.2
#15
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 52.0% · Opp. opp. 61.2%
Remaining SOS
44.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +7.8 | −1.7 | 0.423 | 2 | +13.2 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | −2.8 | +1.7 | 0.245 | 3 | +22.4 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +4.0 | −1.7 | 0.325 | 2 | +4.7 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-10 | −4.5 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Maine · p 0.315
- Wk 9: vs New Hampshire · p 0.542
- Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.251
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.077
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.561
- Wk 13: vs Delaware · p 0.698
- Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.428
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.693
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38