Tennessee State
OVC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#78
−2.5 pts · likely #49–99
Strength of schedule
25.1
#89 of 129
Strength of victory
11.2
#55
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 38.8% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
37.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −25.5 | −1.7 | 0.007 | 4 | −6.3 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +24.9 | +1.7 | 0.884 | 1 | −7.9 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −17.1 | 0.0 | 0.038 | 4 | −3.6 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 | +0.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Howard · p 0.162
- Wk 10: vs UT Martin · p 0.530
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.109
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.224
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.560
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.676