Howard
MEAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#96
−6.7 pts · likely #65–114
Strength of schedule
13.8
#126 of 129
Strength of victory
6.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.302
Opp. 16.3% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
22.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Mercyhurst | W 32-31 | −14.0 | −1.7 | 0.047 | 4 | −13.0 |
| 4 | vs (N) Hampton | L 20-27 | −3.0 | 0.0 | 0.208 | 3 | −9.9 |
| 5 | at Princeton | L 13-30 | −4.4 | +1.7 | 0.213 | 3 | −17.4 |
| 7 | vs Sacred Heart | W 21-14 | −9.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Tennessee State · p 0.180
- Wk 9: at Norfolk State · p 0.142
- Wk 10: vs Delaware State · p 0.030
- Wk 11: vs South Carolina State · p 0.244
- Wk 12: at North Carolina Central · p 0.557
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.201
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at RutgersFBS · L 7-44
- Wk 3: vs (N) Morehouse CollegeDII · W 35-21