Harvard
Ivy · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#20
+10.4 pts · likely #9–50
Strength of schedule
27.0
#80 of 129
Strength of victory
26.5
#24
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
37.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Harvard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Stetson | W 35-0 | −22.8 | −1.7 | 0.012 | 4 | +11.2 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 28-31 | −1.1 | +1.7 | 0.284 | 2 | −0.3 |
| 6 | vs New Hampshire | W 28-23 | +13.2 | −1.7 | 0.568 | 1 | +15.5 |
| 7 | at Cornell | W 38-20 | −4.3 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Holy Cross · p 0.458
- Wk 9: vs Princeton · p 0.194
- Wk 10: at Dartmouth · p 0.515
- Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.354
- Wk 12: at Penn · p 0.468
- Wk 13: vs Yale · p 0.277