Gardner-Webb
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#82
−3.7 pts · likely #53–108
Strength of schedule
25.9
#84 of 129
Strength of victory
6.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.398
Opp. 30.8% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
22.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wofford | L 20-21 | −0.8 | −1.7 | 0.218 | 3 | −4.0 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 42-21 | −15.6 | +1.7 | 0.060 | 4 | +5.6 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 21-52 | −5.0 | −1.7 | 0.145 | 3 | −32.2 |
| 6 | at UT Martin | L 17-35 | +11.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Lindenwood · p 0.188
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.646
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.099
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.127
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.180
- Wk 13: at Western Illinois · p 0.109
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 6-13
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 26-27