Elon
CAA · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#49
+3.2 pts · likely #25–79
Strength of schedule
42.6
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
69.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 70.0% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
28.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | W 41-19 | +14.9 | +1.7 | 0.697 | 1 | +33.9 |
| 3 | vs Western Carolina | L 17-24 | +1.7 | −1.7 | 0.272 | 2 | −5.2 |
| 4 | vs East Tennessee State | L 14-34 | +4.3 | −1.7 | 0.335 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 17-27 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at UAlbany · p 0.390
- Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.251
- Wk 10: vs Campbell · p 0.141
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.591
- Wk 12: vs Maine · p 0.240
- Wk 13: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26