Yale
Ivy · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#57
+1.7 pts · likely #27–88
Strength of schedule
33.6
#51 of 129
Strength of victory
45.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.3%
Remaining SOS
38.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Holy Cross | W 38-31 | +15.4 | +1.7 | 0.709 | 1 | +20.9 |
| 5 | at Cornell | L 23-47 | −12.0 | +1.7 | 0.095 | 4 | −26.5 |
| 6 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 23-22 | −1.5 | −1.7 | 0.205 | 3 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Dartmouth · p 0.428
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.275
- Wk 9: at Penn · p 0.489
- Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.425
- Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.262
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.222
- Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.564