Weber State
Big Sky · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#26
+8.9 pts · likely #12–52
Strength of schedule
28.3
#75 of 129
Strength of victory
33.6
#5
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 61.8%
Remaining SOS
37.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 43-16 | +1.2 | −1.7 | 0.261 | 2 | +23.4 |
| 3 | at Lamar | L 16-17 | −5.3 | +1.7 | 0.196 | 3 | −2.3 |
| 4 | at Northwestern State | W 39-0 | −15.2 | +1.7 | 0.064 | 4 | +19.2 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | L 26-28 | −1.2 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.051
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.642
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.539
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.205
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.678
- Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.130
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WashingtonFBS · L 3-35