Wagner
NEC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#105
−9.2 pts · likely #76–119
Strength of schedule
14.7
#117 of 129
Strength of victory
9.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
28.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | −3.1 | +1.7 | 0.241 | 3 | −32.3 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −11.9 | +1.7 | 0.097 | 4 | +9.3 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | L 14-21 | −4.5 | −1.7 | 0.151 | 3 | −12.8 |
| 6 | at Stonehill | W 28-7 | −11.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Columbia · p 0.338
- Wk 8: vs Saint Francis · p 0.140
- Wk 10: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.297
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.487
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.138
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7
- Wk 5: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 10-41