UC Davis
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#37
+6.5 pts · likely #17–65
Strength of schedule
28.6
#71 of 129
Strength of victory
28.6
#13
Record SOS
0.408
Opp. 26.7% · Opp. opp. 69.0%
Remaining SOS
49.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −12.1 | −1.7 | 0.061 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +6.3 | +1.7 | 0.473 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −14.6 | −1.7 | 0.043 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +15.9 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.130
- Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.427
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.051
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.650
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.682
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.642
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.552
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.853
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31