Tennessee State
OVC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#88
−4.6 pts · likely #57–106
Strength of schedule
28.5
#72 of 129
Strength of victory
9.6
#39
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 57.8%
Remaining SOS
33.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −23.1 | −1.7 | 0.011 | 4 | −4.5 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +25.9 | +1.7 | 0.897 | 1 | −7.0 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −18.8 | 0.0 | 0.029 | 4 | −5.6 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 | +4.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.185
- Wk 8: at Howard · p 0.159
- Wk 10: vs UT Martin · p 0.451
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.159
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.229
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.492
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.650