Tarleton State
UAC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#25
+9.6 pts · likely #11–51
Strength of schedule
32.9
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
32.9
#8
Record SOS
0.648
Opp. 64.0% · Opp. opp. 66.4%
Remaining SOS
39.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | −0.4 | −1.7 | 0.226 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | +2.7 | +1.7 | 0.378 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | +1.7 | +1.7 | 0.352 | 2 | +16.7 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Utah Tech · p 0.048
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.342
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.507
- Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.215
- Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.391
- Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.599
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.202
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.853
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45