Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#32
+7.2 pts · likely #13–65
Strength of schedule
13.4
#119 of 129
Strength of victory
5.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.342
Opp. 20.0% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
33.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at McNeese | L 24-28 | −0.6 | +1.7 | 0.295 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 48-7 | −11.0 | −1.7 | 0.070 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 59-17 | −15.5 | −1.7 | 0.037 | 4 | +15.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Lamar · p 0.247
- Wk 8: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.361
- Wk 9: vs Houston Christian · p 0.239
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.458
- Wk 11: at East Texas A&M · p 0.107
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.517
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.391
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 77-0
- Wk 2: at North TexasFBS · L 20-35