Samford
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#58
+1.5 pts · likely #29–91
Strength of schedule
13.4
#120 of 129
Strength of victory
11.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.261
Opp. 11.1% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
38.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at West Georgia | L 29-38 | −6.7 | +1.7 | 0.172 | 3 | −11.8 |
| 3 | vs Alabama State | W 12-7 | −1.9 | −1.7 | 0.196 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 6 | vs VMI | W 27-3 | −16.3 | −1.7 | 0.033 | 4 | +5.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at East Tennessee State · p 0.516
- Wk 8: vs Mercer · p 0.597
- Wk 9: at The Citadel · p 0.160
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.224
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.336
- Wk 12: at Chattanooga · p 0.563
- Wk 13: vs Western Carolina · p 0.303
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at FloridaFBS · L 7-45