North Carolina Central
MEAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#20
+10.0 pts · likely #10–50
Strength of schedule
17.8
#108 of 129
Strength of victory
17.9
#32
Record SOS
0.351
Opp. 21.7% · Opp. opp. 61.8%
Remaining SOS
16.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama State | W 31-24 | −3.0 | 0.0 | 0.208 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 2 | vs Elon | L 19-41 | −3.2 | −1.7 | 0.174 | 3 | −20.6 |
| 4 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 66-24 | −7.2 | −1.7 | 0.113 | 3 | +23.6 |
| 5 | vs (N) Norfolk State | W 37-10 | −8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.167
- Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.337
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.109
- Wk 13: at Delaware State · p 0.062
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at North CarolinaFBS · L 10-45