Nicholls State
Southland · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#39
+6.2 pts · likely #16–71
Strength of schedule
23.0
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
9.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.348
Opp. 27.8% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
30.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 7-34 | +7.5 | +1.7 | 0.506 | 1 | −13.4 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 66-0 | −22.2 | −1.7 | 0.013 | 4 | +10.5 |
| 6 | at Southern | W 51-7 | −6.7 | +1.7 | 0.172 | 3 | +25.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Incarnate Word · p 0.608
- Wk 8: vs Northwestern State · p 0.028
- Wk 9: vs McNeese · p 0.252
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.411
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.316
- Wk 12: at Lamar · p 0.247
- Wk 13: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.279
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-25
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 21-44