Montana State
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-0 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 45% of the time
Power
#4
+17.9 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
14.0
#118 of 129
Strength of victory
14.0
#37
Record SOS
0.381
Opp. 28.3% · Opp. opp. 57.7%
Remaining SOS
55.8
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −14.9 | +1.7 | 0.066 | 4 | +11.9 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | −0.3 | −1.7 | 0.228 | 3 | +15.9 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.8 | −1.7 | 0.063 | 4 | +21.1 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −0.9 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.591
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.253
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.427
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.553
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.474
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.561
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.451
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.591
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.881
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.794
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31