Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#73
−1.6 pts · likely #40–101
Strength of schedule
29.2
#69 of 129
Strength of victory
20.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.680
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 37.2%
Remaining SOS
14.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Morgan State · p 0.231
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.038
- Wk 9: vs Colgate · p 0.165
- Wk 10: at Robert Morris · p 0.229
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.082
- Wk 13: at Fordham · p 0.105
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 2: at UConnFBS · L 17-63