Dayton
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#89
−4.9 pts · likely #56–112
Strength of schedule
13.3
#122 of 129
Strength of victory
9.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.269
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
11.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −3.6 | −1.7 | 0.166 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −4.4 | +1.7 | 0.214 | 3 | −12.1 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −23.1 | +1.7 | 0.019 | 4 | +9.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Davidson · p 0.083
- Wk 8: at Butler · p 0.395
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.036
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.050
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.123
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.017
- Wk 13: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7