Davidson
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#104
−8.7 pts · likely #71–119
Strength of schedule
6.0
#124 of 129
Strength of victory
2.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.286
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
12.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Davidson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 24-46 | −8.7 | +1.7 | 0.139 | 3 | −25.9 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 48-37 | −16.5 | −1.7 | 0.032 | 4 | −7.3 |
| 6 | vs Marist | W 42-19 | −24.8 | −1.7 | 0.008 | 4 | −4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Dayton · p 0.206
- Wk 8: vs Stetson · p 0.013
- Wk 9: vs Butler · p 0.309
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.177
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.036
- Wk 13: at Valparaiso · p 0.029
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs CatawbaDII · W 49-14
- Wk 3: vs Point UniversityNon-NCAA · W 42-12