Colgate
Patriot · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#82
−3.6 pts · likely #54–106
Strength of schedule
41.4
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
22.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
23.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.133
- Wk 9: at Merrimack · p 0.272
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.105
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.351
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.357
- Wk 13: at Bucknell · p 0.179
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at AkronFBS · L 20-31