Abilene Christian
UAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#34
+6.7 pts · likely #17–64
Strength of schedule
31.3
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
24.0
#21
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 38.3% · Opp. opp. 64.6%
Remaining SOS
49.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs West Georgia | W 38-24 | −4.1 | −1.7 | 0.158 | 3 | +7.9 |
| 3 | at Northern Colorado | W 24-22 | −16.5 | +1.7 | 0.053 | 4 | −10.0 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 24-27 | +14.7 | −1.7 | 0.607 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 5 | at Utah Tech | W 55-30 | −12.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.325
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.507
- Wk 10: vs Southern Utah · p 0.361
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.342
- Wk 12: at Tarleton State · p 0.563
- Wk 13: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.503
- Wk 14: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.447
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.902
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 51-52